AS Marsa 3-1 US Tataouine — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tunisia - 1st Division Yükselme / Düşme, 28 Apr 2024

📅28/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
2.27
Draw
33%
2.77
Away
19%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.44
Over 2.5
37%
2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.19
No
58%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
2.03
2-3 Goals
32%
1.84
4-5 Goals
18%
6.45
6+ Goals
9%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
20%
X/2
8%
X/X
18%
2/1
7%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
40%
+7.9pp
33%
Draw
32%
+0.5pp
20%
Away Win
28%
-8.4pp
63%
Under 2.5
66%
-2.4pp
37%
Over 2.5
34%
+2.4pp
42%
BTTS Yes
42%
-0.1pp
58%
BTTS No
58%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AS Marsa EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY US Tataouine EU Bookmakers 32%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
0.50/0.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/0.00
-58% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% /
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
267 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 236 · 68%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AS Marsa
0W-0D-2L
AWAY US Tataouine
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
06.02.2024 US Tataouine US Tataouine 2-1 HT 0-0 AS Marsa AS Marsa TUN
30.12.2023 AS Marsa AS Marsa 0-1 HT 0-0 US Tataouine US Tataouine TUN1B
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AS Marsa
3-1
AWAY US Tataouine
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 6
POST-MATCH AS Marsa vs US Tataouine
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AS Marsa got the better of US Tataouine 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had AS Marsa as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, AS Marsa had 54% of the ball to US Tataouine's 46%, shots finished 13-8.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, US Tataouine led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for AS Marsa and 1.50 for US Tataouine.

What was the final score of AS Marsa vs US Tataouine?

AS Marsa 3-1 US Tataouine in the Tunisia - 1st Division Yükselme / Düşme on 28/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AS Marsa vs US Tataouine?

Before kick-off our model rated a AS Marsa win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split AS Marsa 48%, draw 33%, US Tataouine 20%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AS Marsa) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (AS Marsa) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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