Kryvbas KR 3-0 Metalist 1925 Kharkiv — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ukraine - Premier League, 28 Apr 2024

Kryvbas KR
3-0 HT 3-0
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
📅28/04/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Ukraine - Premier League – 2023/2024

Kryvbas KR vs Metalist 1925 Kharkiv Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.57
Draw
32%
3.72
Away
20%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.0
Over 2.5
46%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.81
No
46%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
15%
X/1
23%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
4%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
59%
-11.0pp
32%
Draw
23%
+8.5pp
20%
Away Win
17%
+2.5pp
54%
Under 2.5
46%
+7.3pp
46%
Over 2.5
54%
-7.3pp
54%
BTTS Yes
51%
+2.6pp
46%
BTTS No
49%
-2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Kryvbas KR v Metalist 1925 Kharkiv — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kryvbas KR EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Metalist 1925 Kharkiv EU Bookmakers 21%
+18% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +1%
1.62/0.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/1.42
-11% / +57% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +16%
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
382 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 72%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 2.0

Kryvbas KR vs Metalist 1925 Kharkiv Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kryvbas KR
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
The Meetings
20.10.2023 Metalist 1925 Kharkiv Metalist 1925 Kharkiv 1-3 HT 1-2 Kryvbas KR Kryvbas KR UKR
29.05.2023 Metalist 1925 Kharkiv Metalist 1925 Kharkiv 0-2 HT 0-0 Kryvbas KR Kryvbas KR UKR
20.11.2022 Kryvbas KR Kryvbas KR 0-2 HT 0-2 Metalist 1925 Kharkiv Metalist 1925 Kharkiv UKR
POST-MATCH Kryvbas KR vs Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kryvbas KR ran out comfortable winners over Metalist 1925 Kharkiv 3-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Kryvbas KR as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Kryvbas KR had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Kryvbas KR and 1.00 for Metalist 1925 Kharkiv.

What was the final score of Kryvbas KR vs Metalist 1925 Kharkiv?

Kryvbas KR 3-0 Metalist 1925 Kharkiv in the Ukraine - Premier League on 28/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kryvbas KR vs Metalist 1925 Kharkiv?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kryvbas KR win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Kryvbas KR 48%, draw 32%, Metalist 1925 Kharkiv 20%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kryvbas KR) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kryvbas KR) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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