Cuiaba vs Ferroviaria Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Cuiaba v Ferroviaria — Team-Based Signals
Cuiaba 1-0 Ferroviaria — Actual Match Statistics
Cuiaba edged past Ferroviaria 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Cuiaba as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.
On the day, Cuiaba had 47% of the ball to Ferroviaria's 53%, shots finished 15-19, expected goals 1.11 to 1.03.
What was the final score of Cuiaba vs Ferroviaria?
Cuiaba 1-0 Ferroviaria in the Brazil - Serie B on 28/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Cuiaba vs Ferroviaria?
Before kick-off our model rated a Cuiaba win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Cuiaba 46%, draw 28%, Ferroviaria 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cuiaba), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.