Dire Dawa Kenema 0-2 Mebrat Hayl — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Etiyopya - Premier League, 28 Apr 2025

📅28/04/2025 · 🕒08:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.18
Draw
31%
2.7
Away
38%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
68%
Over 2.5
32%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
2.33
No
64%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
45%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
13%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
19%
X/2
22%
X/X
20%
2/1
4%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
42%
-11.1pp
31%
Draw
34%
-2.2pp
38%
Away Win
24%
+13.3pp
36%
BTTS Yes
39%
-2.9pp
64%
BTTS No
61%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dire Dawa Kenema EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Mebrat Hayl EU Bookmakers 28%
-37% / -37% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +24% / +24%
0.55/1.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/0.45
-46% / -37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +137%
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
276 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dire Dawa Kenema
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Mebrat Hayl
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
59% Ball Possession 41%
9 Total Shots 4
7 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 0
27.04.2025 Dire Dawa Kenema Dire Dawa Kenema 0-2 Mebrat Hayl Mebrat Hayl ETH
28.11.2024 Mebrat Hayl Mebrat Hayl 0-0 Dire Dawa Kenema Dire Dawa Kenema ETH
POST-MATCH Dire Dawa Kenema vs Mebrat Hayl
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mebrat Hayl beat Dire Dawa Kenema 2-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 31% / 31% / 38% — and on the day Mebrat Hayl made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (68%), no to both teams scoring (64%) came in.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Mebrat Hayl led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Dire Dawa Kenema and 1.00 for Mebrat Hayl.

What was the final score of Dire Dawa Kenema vs Mebrat Hayl?

Dire Dawa Kenema 0-2 Mebrat Hayl in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 28/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dire Dawa Kenema vs Mebrat Hayl?

Before kick-off our model rated an Mebrat Hayl win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Dire Dawa Kenema 31%, draw 31%, Mebrat Hayl 38%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mebrat Hayl), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Mebrat Hayl) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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