Athletic Club 0-1 Nautico — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 28 Apr 2026

Athletic Club
0 - 1 HT 0 - 0
Nautico
📅28/04/2026 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Brazil - Serie B – 2026

Athletic Club vs Nautico Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.53
Draw
31%
3.04
Away
34%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
57%
1.62
Over
43%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.88
No
50%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1
32%
2.45
2-3
46%
1.7
4-5
19%
4.28
6+
3%
22.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
2%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
14%
X/X
21%
2/1
2%
2/2
18%
2/X
5%
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.

Athletic Club v Nautico — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Athletic Club The Market 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Nautico The Market 38%
Weak Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Bad
1.16 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.17
1.37 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.26
Average Attack Strength Weak
Weak Defense Strength Weak
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
289 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 243 · 71%
19 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21
23 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 3

Athletic Club 0-1 Nautico — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Athletic Club
0 - 1
AWAY Nautico
0.76 xG 0.87
54% Ball Possession 46%
9 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 4
343 Passes 289
84% Pass Accuracy 83%
15 Box Touches 22
24 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 4
REVIEW Athletic Club vs Nautico
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Nautico came out on the right side of a one-goal game with Athletic Club 1-0 on the road. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 31% / 34% — and on the day Nautico made the difference. The goals call finished the job: under 2.5 goals (57%) landed.

On the day, Athletic Club had 54% of the ball to Nautico's 46%, shots finished 9-15, expected goals 0.76 to 0.87.

Athletic Club vs Nautico Result & Final Score

Athletic Club 0 - 1 Nautico in the Brazil - Serie B on 28/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Athletic Club vs Nautico Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Athletic Club win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Athletic Club 35%, draw 31%, Nautico 34%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Athletic Club) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Athletic Club) ✓ Under 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →