Union Santa Fe 2-0 Barracas Central — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 28 May 2024

Union Santa Fe
2-0 HT 1-0
Barracas Central
📅28/05/2024 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Argentina - Premier League – 2024

Union Santa Fe vs Barracas Central Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.8
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
29%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.59
Over 2.5
39%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.09
No
60%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.47
2-3 Goals
43%
1.78
4-5 Goals
15%
4.82
6+ Goals
9%
27.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
2.44
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
8%
15.2
X/1
17%
3.88
X/2
11%
8.79
X/X
15%
4.01
2/1
10%
29.0
2/2
12%
7.62
2/X
5%
16.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
52%
-8.7pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.7pp
29%
Away Win
20%
+8.1pp
61%
Under 2.5
59%
+1.6pp
39%
Over 2.5
41%
-1.6pp
40%
BTTS Yes
44%
-4.1pp
60%
BTTS No
56%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Union Santa Fe v Barracas Central — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Union Santa Fe EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Barracas Central EU Bookmakers 23%
-4% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +8%
1.46/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.23
+10% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +29% / +16%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
318 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 249 · 71%
25.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.1
27.5 Crosses 14.7
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.6

Union Santa Fe vs Barracas Central Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Union Santa Fe
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Barracas Central
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.32 xG 1.33
53% Ball Possession 47%
18 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
177 Passes 223
62% Pass Accuracy 68%
20 Box Touches 23
19 Crosses 28
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
13.02.2023 Barracas Central Barracas Central 1-1 HT 1-1 Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe ARJ
15.06.2022 Barracas Central Barracas Central 1-2 HT 0-2 Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe ARJ
26.04.2019 Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe 0-1 HT 0-1 Barracas Central Barracas Central ARJK

Union Santa Fe 2-0 Barracas Central — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Union Santa Fe
2-0
AWAY Barracas Central
2.08 xG 0.99
46% Ball Possession 54%
28 Total Shots 15
9 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
233 Passes 281
77% Pass Accuracy 76%
42 Box Touches 14
31 Crosses 19
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Union Santa Fe vs Barracas Central
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Union Santa Fe saw off Barracas Central 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Union Santa Fe as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (60%) came in.

On the day, Union Santa Fe had 46% of the ball to Barracas Central's 54%, shots finished 28-15, expected goals 2.08 to 0.99.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Union Santa Fe and 1.00 for Barracas Central.

What was the final score of Union Santa Fe vs Barracas Central?

Union Santa Fe 2-0 Barracas Central in the Argentina - Premier League on 28/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Union Santa Fe vs Barracas Central?

Before kick-off our model rated a Union Santa Fe win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Union Santa Fe 43%, draw 28%, Barracas Central 29%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Union Santa Fe), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Union Santa Fe) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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