New Lambton FC 1-1 Lambton Jaffas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - Yeni South Wales, 28 May 2024

📅28/05/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
13%
9.57
Draw
19%
7.13
Away
68%
1.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
3.94
Over 2.5
57%
1.22
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.73
No
49%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
4%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
4%
X/2
24%
X/X
8%
2/1
4%
2/2
40%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
13%
Home Win
8%
+4.6pp
19%
Draw
11%
+7.7pp
68%
Away Win
81%
-12.3pp
43%
Under 2.5
22%
+21.5pp
57%
Over 2.5
78%
-21.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
54%
-3.1pp
49%
BTTS No
46%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME New Lambton FC EU Bookmakers 10%
Head to Head
AWAY Lambton Jaffas EU Bookmakers 85%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
1.00/4.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.00/0.00
-13% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% /
39% Ball Possession 61%
11 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 8
244 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 527 · 86%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME New Lambton FC
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Lambton Jaffas
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
38% Ball Possession 62%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 10
3 Yellow Cards 2
02.06.2023 New Lambton FC New Lambton FC 0-5 HT 0-1 Lambton Jaffas Lambton Jaffas AVNPL
17.03.2023 Lambton Jaffas Lambton Jaffas 1-1 HT 1-0 New Lambton FC New Lambton FC AVNPL
POST-MATCH New Lambton FC vs Lambton Jaffas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

New Lambton FC and Lambton Jaffas couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Lambton Jaffas at 68% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Lambton Jaffas led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for New Lambton FC and 3.00 for Lambton Jaffas.

What was the final score of New Lambton FC vs Lambton Jaffas?

New Lambton FC 1-1 Lambton Jaffas in the Australia - Yeni South Wales on 28/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for New Lambton FC vs Lambton Jaffas?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lambton Jaffas win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split New Lambton FC 13%, draw 19%, Lambton Jaffas 68%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Lambton Jaffas), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lambton Jaffas) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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