Cultural Leonesa 2-2 Ceuta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 28 May 2025

Cultural Leonesa
2-2 HT 2-1
Ceuta
📅28/05/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Spain - 2nd Division B – 2024/2025

Cultural Leonesa vs Ceuta Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.33
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
36%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.71
Over 2.5
41%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.82
No
55%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
2.74
2-3 Goals
40%
1.73
4-5 Goals
18%
3.92
6+ Goals
9%
18.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.74 — our 33% vs market 29.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
16%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
39%
-3.5pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.1pp
36%
Away Win
32%
+3.6pp
58%
Under 2.5
55%
+3.9pp
42%
Over 2.5
45%
-3.9pp
45%
BTTS Yes
51%
-5.7pp
55%
BTTS No
49%
+5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Cultural Leonesa v Ceuta — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cultural Leonesa EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Ceuta EU Bookmakers 36%
+8% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +16%
1.52/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/0.83
+20% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +39%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
365 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 243 · 72%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.7

Cultural Leonesa vs Ceuta Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cultural Leonesa
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Ceuta
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
20 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
22.01.2023 Ceuta Ceuta 2-1 HT 1-0 Cultural Leonesa Cultural Leonesa İS3
04.09.2022 Cultural Leonesa Cultural Leonesa 2-0 HT 1-0 Ceuta Ceuta İS3
POST-MATCH Cultural Leonesa vs Ceuta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cultural Leonesa and Ceuta couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 29% / 36% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Cultural Leonesa and 1.00 for Ceuta.

What was the final score of Cultural Leonesa vs Ceuta?

Cultural Leonesa 2-2 Ceuta in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 28/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cultural Leonesa vs Ceuta?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cultural Leonesa win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Cultural Leonesa 36%, draw 29%, Ceuta 36%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (36/29/36) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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