FC Sochi 1-2 Nizhny Novgorod — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 28 May 2025

📅28/05/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
1.89
Draw
31%
3.18
Away
30%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
55%
1.68
Over
45%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.9
No
49%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1
28%
2.84
2-3
42%
1.81
4-5
20%
4.32
6+
10%
21.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
2.59
1/2
7%
35.0
1/X
8%
13.75
X/1
15%
4.44
X/2
11%
8.36
X/X
17%
4.28
2/1
9%
27.5
2/2
12%
6.89
2/X
6%
15.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
39%
Home Win
49%
-9.8pp
31%
Draw
28%
+2.5pp
30%
Away Win
23%
+7.3pp
55%
Under 2.5
56%
-0.2pp
45%
Over 2.5
44%
+0.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+2.2pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Sochi The Market 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Nizhny Novgorod The Market 26%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +18%
0.99/0.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/0.72
-30% / +39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +41% / +64%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
384 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.0
Crosses 15.0
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Sochi
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Nizhny Novgorod
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
60% Ball Possession 40%
14 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 0
01.07.2022 Nizhny Novgorod Nizhny Novgorod 1-1 FC Sochi FC Sochi HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Sochi
1-2
AWAY Nizhny Novgorod
0.98 xG 1.23
41% Ball Possession 59%
11 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 11
193 Passes 345
66% Pass Accuracy 82%
17 Box Touches 19
10 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH FC Sochi vs Nizhny Novgorod
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nizhny Novgorod squeezed past FC Sochi 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 31% / 30% — and on the day Nizhny Novgorod made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, FC Sochi had 41% of the ball to Nizhny Novgorod's 59%, shots finished 11-16, expected goals 0.98 to 1.23.

What was the final score of FC Sochi vs Nizhny Novgorod?

FC Sochi 1-2 Nizhny Novgorod in the Russia - FNL on 28/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Sochi vs Nizhny Novgorod?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Sochi win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split FC Sochi 39%, draw 31%, Nizhny Novgorod 30%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (FC Sochi), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FC Sochi) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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