KS Wieczysta Krakow 3-2 Polonia Warszawa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 1st Division, 28 May 2026

📅28/05/2026 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.89
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
27%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.18
Over 2.5
55%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.56
No
43%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.05
2-3 Goals
39%
1.81
4-5 Goals
28%
2.81
6+ Goals
10%
8.32
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
22%
X/2
6%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
49%
+0.2pp
23%
Draw
24%
-0.9pp
27%
Away Win
27%
+0.6pp
45%
Under 2.5
42%
+2.7pp
55%
Over 2.5
58%
-2.7pp
57%
BTTS Yes
60%
-2.5pp
42%
BTTS No
40%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME KS Wieczysta Krakow EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Polonia Warszawa EU Bookmakers 30%
-21% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +7%
1.92/2.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/1.36
+17% / -50% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / +8%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
387 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME KS Wieczysta Krakow
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Polonia Warszawa
3.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
02.03.2026 KS Wieczysta Krakow KS Wieczysta Krakow 1-2 HT 0-0 Polonia Warszawa Polonia Warszawa POL1
19.08.2025 Polonia Warszawa Polonia Warszawa 1-6 HT 0-2 KS Wieczysta Krakow KS Wieczysta Krakow POL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME KS Wieczysta Krakow
3-2
AWAY Polonia Warszawa
49% Ball Possession 51%
6 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
9 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH KS Wieczysta Krakow vs Polonia Warszawa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

KS Wieczysta Krakow nicked a narrow win over Polonia Warszawa 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had KS Wieczysta Krakow as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, KS Wieczysta Krakow had 49% of the ball to Polonia Warszawa's 51%, shots finished 6-13.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 3.50 goals for KS Wieczysta Krakow and 1.50 for Polonia Warszawa.

What was the final score of KS Wieczysta Krakow vs Polonia Warszawa?

KS Wieczysta Krakow 3-2 Polonia Warszawa in the Poland - 1st Division on 28/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for KS Wieczysta Krakow vs Polonia Warszawa?

Before kick-off our model rated a KS Wieczysta Krakow win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split KS Wieczysta Krakow 49%, draw 23%, Polonia Warszawa 27%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (KS Wieczysta Krakow), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (KS Wieczysta Krakow) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
POL1 More Poland - 1st Division
28 May 2026
18:30 Chrobry Glogow vs Lodzki KS Analysis →