Dayton Dutch Lions 2-3 Louisville City II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 2, 28 May 2026

📅28/05/2026 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
9%
7.18
Draw
12%
5.28
Away
79%
1.28
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
Over 2.5
61%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.73
No
55%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
2%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
5%
X/2
35%
X/X
5%
2/1
2%
2/2
34%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
9%
Home Win
11%
-2.2pp
12%
Draw
16%
-3.4pp
79%
Away Win
73%
+5.6pp
45%
BTTS Yes
54%
-8.5pp
55%
BTTS No
46%
+8.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dayton Dutch Lions EU Bookmakers 14%
Head to Head
AWAY Louisville City II EU Bookmakers 78%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-72% / +64% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
38% Ball Possession 62%
8 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 7
264 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 442 · 86%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Dayton Dutch Lions vs Louisville City II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Louisville City II edged past Dayton Dutch Lions 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Louisville City II as the likeliest winner at 79%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (61%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

What was the final score of Dayton Dutch Lions vs Louisville City II?

Dayton Dutch Lions 2-3 Louisville City II in the USA - USL League 2 on 28/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dayton Dutch Lions vs Louisville City II?

Before kick-off our model rated an Louisville City II win the most likely single outcome at about 79%, with the full match-result split Dayton Dutch Lions 9%, draw 12%, Louisville City II 79%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Louisville City II), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Louisville City II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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