Panama 2-1 ABD — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Copa America, 28 Jun 2024

Panama
2-1 HT 1-1
ABD
📅28/06/2024 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Copa America – 2024

Panama vs ABD Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
6.35
Draw
25%
4.19
Away
46%
1.41
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
Over 2.5
43%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.16
No
57%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.27
2-3 Goals
44%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
3.61
6+ Goals
8%
14.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.27 — our 28% vs market 25.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1 EV+ ✗
13%
13.95
1/2
4%
25.5
1/X
6%
21.85
X/1
11%
15.85
X/2
15%
3.35
X/X
12%
5.79
2/1
5%
105.0
2/2
26%
1.69
2/X
8%
20.6
Value flag · 1/1 at 13.95 — our 13% vs market 4.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
13%
+16.5pp
25%
Draw
21%
+4.7pp
45%
Away Win
67%
-21.2pp
43%
BTTS Yes
42%
+1.2pp
57%
BTTS No
58%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Panama v ABD — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Panama EU Bookmakers 16%
Head to Head
AWAY ABD EU Bookmakers 71%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
39% Ball Possession 61%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
231 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 426 · 84%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Panama vs ABD Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Panama
1W-1D-4L
AWAY ABD
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
0.94 xG 1.93
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
346 Passes 403
80% Pass Accuracy 82%
13 Box Touches 26
17 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
13.07.2023 ABD ABD 1-1 HT 0-0 Panama Panama GK
28.03.2022 ABD ABD 5-1 HT 4-0 Panama Panama DKE
11.10.2021 Panama Panama 1-0 HT 0-0 ABD ABD DKE
16.11.2020 ABD ABD 6-2 HT 3-1 Panama Panama HAZ
27.06.2019 Panama Panama 0-1 HT 0-0 ABD ABD GK
28.01.2019 ABD ABD 3-0 HT 1-0 Panama Panama HAZ

Panama 2-1 ABD — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Panama
2-1
AWAY ABD
0.77 xG 1.08
74% Ball Possession 26%
13 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 0
465 Passes 114
86% Pass Accuracy 59%
27 Box Touches 13
21 Crosses 9
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Panama vs ABD
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Panama squeezed past ABD 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was ABD at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Panama had 74% of the ball to ABD's 26%, shots finished 13-6, expected goals 0.77 to 1.08.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, ABD led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Panama and 2.67 for ABD.

What was the final score of Panama vs ABD?

Panama 2-1 ABD in the Copa America on 28/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Panama vs ABD?

Before kick-off our model rated an ABD win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Panama 29%, draw 25%, ABD 45%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (ABD) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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