Dinamo Brest 1-1 Vitebsk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - Premier League, 28 Jun 2024

Dinamo Brest
1-1 HT 0-0
Vitebsk
📅28/06/2024 · 🕒20:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Belarus - Premier League – 2024

Dinamo Brest vs Vitebsk Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.96
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
30%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.8
Over 2.5
53%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.76
No
45%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.16
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
23%
3.71
6+ Goals
13%
15.6
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.71 — our 23% vs market 21.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
11%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
47%
-4.3pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.8pp
30%
Away Win
26%
+3.5pp
47%
Under 2.5
52%
-4.4pp
53%
Over 2.5
48%
+4.4pp
55%
BTTS Yes
53%
+2.5pp
45%
BTTS No
47%
-2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Dinamo Brest v Vitebsk — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dinamo Brest EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Vitebsk EU Bookmakers 30%
-15% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +10%
1.18/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/0.93
-16% / -38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +53%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
362 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.3

Dinamo Brest vs Vitebsk Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dinamo Brest
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Vitebsk
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
50% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
29.10.2022 Dinamo Brest Dinamo Brest 4-4 HT 3-2 Vitebsk Vitebsk BLR
30.07.2022 Dinamo Brest Dinamo Brest 1-1 HT 0-1 Vitebsk Vitebsk BLRK
03.07.2022 Vitebsk Vitebsk 0-1 HT 0-0 Dinamo Brest Dinamo Brest BLR
12.03.2022 Dinamo Brest Dinamo Brest 1-0 HT 0-0 Vitebsk Vitebsk BLRK
29.08.2021 Vitebsk Vitebsk 3-1 HT 0-0 Dinamo Brest Dinamo Brest BLR
24.04.2021 Dinamo Brest Dinamo Brest 0-0 HT 0-0 Vitebsk Vitebsk BLR

Dinamo Brest 1-1 Vitebsk — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dinamo Brest
1-1
AWAY Vitebsk
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
9 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Dinamo Brest vs Vitebsk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dinamo Brest and Vitebsk couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Dinamo Brest at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Dinamo Brest had 56% of the ball to Vitebsk's 44%, shots finished 17-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dinamo Brest had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Dinamo Brest and 1.33 for Vitebsk.

What was the final score of Dinamo Brest vs Vitebsk?

Dinamo Brest 1-1 Vitebsk in the Belarus - Premier League on 28/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dinamo Brest vs Vitebsk?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dinamo Brest win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Dinamo Brest 43%, draw 27%, Vitebsk 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Dinamo Brest), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Dinamo Brest) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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