Lesotho 1-1 Seyşeller — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CAF Cosfa Cup, 28 Jun 2024

📅28/06/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.33
Draw
30%
4.34
Away
17%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.75
Over 2.5
41%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.51
No
58%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
21%
X/2
6%
X/X
16%
2/1
3%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
70%
-17.5pp
30%
Draw
19%
+10.6pp
17%
Away Win
10%
+6.9pp
59%
Under 2.5
53%
+5.3pp
41%
Over 2.5
47%
-5.3pp
42%
BTTS Yes
36%
+6.5pp
58%
BTTS No
64%
-6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lesotho EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Seyşeller EU Bookmakers 14%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
2.00/0.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/2.41
+52% / +78% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -48%
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
412 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lesotho
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Seyşeller
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
66% Ball Possession 34%
19 Total Shots 3
8 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 3
09.07.2023 Lesotho Lesotho 2-0 HT 0-0 Seyşeller Seyşeller CAFCOS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lesotho
1-1
AWAY Seyşeller
64% Ball Possession 36%
18 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
13 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Lesotho vs Seyşeller
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lesotho and Seyşeller couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Lesotho at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (59%) landed while no to both teams scoring (58%) missed.

On the day, Lesotho had 64% of the ball to Seyşeller's 36%, shots finished 18-12.

What was the final score of Lesotho vs Seyşeller?

Lesotho 1-1 Seyşeller in the CAF Cosfa Cup on 28/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lesotho vs Seyşeller?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lesotho win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Lesotho 53%, draw 30%, Seyşeller 17%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Lesotho), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lesotho) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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28 Jun 2024
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