Ethiopian Insurance 1-0 Hadiya Hosaena — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Etiyopya - Premier League, 28 Jun 2024

📅28/06/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.19
Draw
25%
3.11
Away
35%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.59
Over 2.5
44%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.96
No
54%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
32%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
10%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
4%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
22%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
42%
-2.0pp
25%
Draw
29%
-3.9pp
35%
Away Win
30%
+5.9pp
56%
Under 2.5
59%
-3.4pp
44%
Over 2.5
41%
+3.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.2pp
54%
BTTS No
53%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ethiopian Insurance EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Hadiya Hosaena EU Bookmakers 33%
+19% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
3.03/1.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/1.03
+150% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +6%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
312 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ethiopian Insurance
1-0
AWAY Hadiya Hosaena
58% Ball Possession 42%
7 Total Shots 5
2 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Ethiopian Insurance vs Hadiya Hosaena
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ethiopian Insurance nicked a narrow win over Hadiya Hosaena 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (40% / 25% / 35%) promised a tight game; Ethiopian Insurance found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Ethiopian Insurance had 58% of the ball to Hadiya Hosaena's 42%, shots finished 7-5.

What was the final score of Ethiopian Insurance vs Hadiya Hosaena?

Ethiopian Insurance 1-0 Hadiya Hosaena in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 28/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ethiopian Insurance vs Hadiya Hosaena?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ethiopian Insurance win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Ethiopian Insurance 40%, draw 25%, Hadiya Hosaena 35%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ethiopian Insurance), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ethiopian Insurance) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →