28/06/2024
·
19:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
0-1
2nd Score
1-0
Iberia vs Dinamo Tbilisi Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
49%
4-5 Goals
13%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
17%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
47%
25%
Draw
27%
34%
Away Win
26%
63%
Under 2.5
57%
37%
Over 2.5
43%
41%
BTTS Yes
47%
59%
BTTS No
53%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Iberia v Dinamo Tbilisi — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Iberia
EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY
Dinamo Tbilisi
EU Bookmakers 29%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
54%
Ball Possession
46%
13
Total Shots
11
5
Shots on Target
3
6
Corners
4
337 · 78%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
298 · 77%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Iberia vs Dinamo Tbilisi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Dinamo Tbilisi beat Iberia 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
Our pre-match lean was Iberia at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.
What was the final score of Iberia vs Dinamo Tbilisi?
Iberia 0-2 Dinamo Tbilisi in the Georgia Super Cup on 28/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Iberia vs Dinamo Tbilisi?
Before kick-off our model rated a Iberia win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Iberia 41%, draw 25%, Dinamo Tbilisi 34%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Iberia) went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Iberia)
✓ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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GURCSK
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28 Jun 2024