Leevon / PPK 1-2 Rigas FS II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - 1st Division, 28 Jun 2024

📅28/06/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
3.08
Draw
21%
4.49
Away
22%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
2.38
Over 2.5
64%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
66%
No
34%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
21%
X/2
9%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
28%
+28.2pp
21%
Draw
19%
+2.3pp
22%
Away Win
53%
-30.5pp
36%
Under 2.5
38%
-2.6pp
64%
Over 2.5
62%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leevon / PPK EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Rigas FS II EU Bookmakers 57%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -16%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -55%
60% Ball Possession 40%
18 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
449 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 224 · 68%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Leevon / PPK vs Rigas FS II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rigas FS II nicked a narrow win over Leevon / PPK 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

This one beat our numbers. Leevon / PPK carried 57% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (66%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Leevon / PPK vs Rigas FS II?

Leevon / PPK 1-2 Rigas FS II in the Latvia - 1st Division on 28/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leevon / PPK vs Rigas FS II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Leevon / PPK win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Leevon / PPK 57%, draw 21%, Rigas FS II 22%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Leevon / PPK) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Leevon / PPK) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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