28/06/2024
·
01:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-1
2nd Score
1-2
Caracas FC vs Miranda Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
Over 2.5
56%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
No
47%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
25%
X/2
7%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
4%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
65%
23%
Draw
21%
23%
Away Win
14%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Caracas FC v Miranda — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Caracas FC
EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY
Miranda
EU Bookmakers 17%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
50%
Ball Possession
50%
15
Total Shots
12
6
Shots on Target
4
6
Corners
4
344 · 82%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
361 · 83%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
Caracas FC 2-0 Miranda — Actual Match Statistics
RESULT
Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME
Caracas FC
2-0
AWAY
Miranda
58%
Ball Possession
42%
18
Total Shots
10
6
Shots on Target
3
4
Corners
3
3
Yellow Cards
3
POST-MATCH
Caracas FC vs Miranda
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Caracas FC beat Miranda 2-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Caracas FC as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Caracas FC had 58% of the ball to Miranda's 42%, shots finished 18-10.
What was the final score of Caracas FC vs Miranda?
Caracas FC 2-0 Miranda in the VENK on 28/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Caracas FC vs Miranda?
Before kick-off our model rated a Caracas FC win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Caracas FC 54%, draw 23%, Miranda 23%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Caracas FC) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Caracas FC)
✗ Over 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
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VENK
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28 Jun 2024