SalPa Salo 1-2 FC Lahti — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Ykkönen, 28 Jun 2025

📅28/06/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
7.78
Draw
21%
4.62
Away
60%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.03
Over 2.5
54%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.19
No
53%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.58
2-3 Goals
38%
1.8
4-5 Goals
27%
3.13
6+ Goals
10%
10.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
14%
1/X
6%
X/1
6%
X/2
19%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
27%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
10%
+8.4pp
21%
Draw
19%
+2.7pp
60%
Away Win
71%
-11.1pp
46%
Under 2.5
45%
+0.6pp
54%
Over 2.5
55%
-0.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
42%
+5.3pp
53%
BTTS No
58%
-5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SalPa Salo EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Lahti EU Bookmakers 75%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +20% / +20%
0.57/1.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.17/0.41
-37% / +33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +57% / +108%
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 10
222 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 427 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME SalPa Salo
0W-0D-1L
AWAY FC Lahti
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
43% Ball Possession 57%
3 Total Shots 14
1 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 4
03.05.2025 FC Lahti FC Lahti 1-0 HT 0-0 SalPa Salo SalPa Salo FİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME SalPa Salo
1-2
AWAY FC Lahti
41% Ball Possession 59%
4 Total Shots 23
2 Shots on Target 9
1 Corners 10
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH SalPa Salo vs FC Lahti
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Lahti nicked a narrow win over SalPa Salo 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had FC Lahti as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, SalPa Salo had 41% of the ball to FC Lahti's 59%, shots finished 4-23.

What was the final score of SalPa Salo vs FC Lahti?

SalPa Salo 1-2 FC Lahti in the Finland - Ykkönen on 28/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SalPa Salo vs FC Lahti?

Before kick-off our model rated an FC Lahti win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split SalPa Salo 19%, draw 21%, FC Lahti 60%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Lahti), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FC Lahti) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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