Ulytau 1-2 Zhetysu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kazakistan - Super League, 28 Jun 2025

📅28/06/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
2.33
Draw
25%
2.94
Away
26%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.64
Over 2.5
50%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.88
No OUR CALL
54%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
BTTS No — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
39%
+9.6pp
26%
Draw
30%
-4.9pp
26%
Away Win
30%
-4.6pp
50%
Under 2.5
57%
-7.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
43%
+7.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.8pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ulytau EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Zhetysu EU Bookmakers 34%
-55% / -55% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +21%
0.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/0.95
-100% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +20%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
283 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ulytau
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Zhetysu
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
08.03.2025 Zhetysu Zhetysu 0-0 HT 0-0 Ulytau Ulytau KAZP
POST-MATCH Ulytau vs Zhetysu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zhetysu nicked a narrow win over Ulytau 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Ulytau at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

What was the final score of Ulytau vs Zhetysu?

Ulytau 1-2 Zhetysu in the Kazakistan - Super League on 28/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ulytau vs Zhetysu?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ulytau win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Ulytau 49%, draw 26%, Zhetysu 26%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Ulytau) ✗ BTTS No
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