Melbourne Srbija 1-1 Melbourne City II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - Victoria NPL 2, 28 Jun 2025

📅28/06/2025 · 🕒11:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.29
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
48%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
Over 2.5
48%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.39
No
53%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
8%
1/X
3%
X/1
12%
X/2
16%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
24%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
27%
+2.0pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.0pp
48%
Away Win
50%
-1.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
68%
-20.7pp
53%
BTTS No
32%
+20.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Melbourne Srbija EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Melbourne City II EU Bookmakers 54%
-35% / -35% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +16%
0.51/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.30/0.57
-69% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / +150%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 6
321 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 412 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Melbourne Srbija
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Melbourne City II
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
23.03.2025 Melbourne City II Melbourne City II 2-2 Melbourne Srbija Melbourne Srbija NPL2
POST-MATCH Melbourne Srbija vs Melbourne City II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Melbourne Srbija and Melbourne City II shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Melbourne City II at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

What was the final score of Melbourne Srbija vs Melbourne City II?

Melbourne Srbija 1-1 Melbourne City II in the Australia - Victoria NPL 2 on 28/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Melbourne Srbija vs Melbourne City II?

Before kick-off our model rated an Melbourne City II win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Melbourne Srbija 29%, draw 23%, Melbourne City II 48%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Melbourne City II), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Melbourne City II) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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