La Serena 2-1 Cobreloa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Chile - Cup, 28 Jun 2026

📅28/06/2026 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.86
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
25%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.86
Over 2.5
53%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.76
No
47%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
50%
+0.0pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.7pp
25%
Away Win
24%
+0.7pp
47%
Under 2.5
50%
-3.2pp
53%
Over 2.5
50%
+3.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
+0.3pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
-0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME La Serena EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Cobreloa EU Bookmakers 28%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
1.29/1.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.58/1.81
+9% / -55% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +0%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
323 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 239 · 75%
19.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.0
24.5 Crosses 15.0
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME La Serena
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Cobreloa
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 5
06.08.2023 Cobreloa Cobreloa 1-0 HT 1-0 La Serena La Serena ŞİLİB
19.03.2023 La Serena La Serena 1-0 HT 0-0 Cobreloa Cobreloa ŞİLİB
07.11.2015 La Serena La Serena 0-0 HT 0-0 Cobreloa Cobreloa ŞİLİB
POST-MATCH La Serena vs Cobreloa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

La Serena squeezed past Cobreloa 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had La Serena as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for La Serena and 0.33 for Cobreloa.

What was the final score of La Serena vs Cobreloa?

La Serena 2-1 Cobreloa in the Chile - Cup on 28/06/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for La Serena vs Cobreloa?

Before kick-off our model rated a La Serena win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split La Serena 50%, draw 26%, Cobreloa 25%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (La Serena), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (La Serena) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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