Atletico Goianiense 2-0 Ponte Preta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 28 Jun 2026

Atletico Goianiense
2-0 HT 2-0
Ponte Preta
📅28/06/2026 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Brazil - Serie B – 2026

Atletico Goianiense vs Ponte Preta Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
66%
1.34
Draw
17%
4.34
Away
17%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
1.82
Over 2.5
60%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
2.29
No
48%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2.98
2-3 Goals
42%
1.71
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
25%
3.5
6+ Goals
12%
14.4
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.5 — our 25% vs market 21.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
16%
X/2
7%
X/X
6%
2/1
11%
2/2
6%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
66%
Home Win
70%
-4.1pp
17%
Draw
20%
-2.2pp
17%
Away Win
10%
+6.2pp
40%
Under 2.5
51%
-11.2pp
60%
Over 2.5
49%
+11.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
40%
+12.5pp
48%
BTTS No
60%
-12.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Atletico Goianiense v Ponte Preta — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Goianiense EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Ponte Preta EU Bookmakers 14%
+4% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.63/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.71/1.43
+0% / +47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -13%
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
400 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 79%
23.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.2
23.1 Crosses 14.0
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.7

Atletico Goianiense vs Ponte Preta Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Goianiense
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Ponte Preta
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.17
1.19 xG 0.51
49% Ball Possession 51%
17 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
318 Passes 332
79% Pass Accuracy 80%
20 Box Touches 13
18 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
15.10.2023 Ponte Preta Ponte Preta 0-2 HT 0-1 Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense BR2
24.06.2023 Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense 1-0 HT 1-0 Ponte Preta Ponte Preta BR2
15.10.2019 Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense 0-0 HT 0-0 Ponte Preta Ponte Preta BR2
17.07.2019 Ponte Preta Ponte Preta 0-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense BR2
05.09.2018 Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense 2-0 HT 1-0 Ponte Preta Ponte Preta BR2
19.05.2018 Ponte Preta Ponte Preta 1-3 HT 1-0 Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense BR2

Atletico Goianiense 2-0 Ponte Preta — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico Goianiense
2-0
AWAY Ponte Preta
2.59 xG 0.74
54% Ball Possession 46%
21 Total Shots 9
10 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 5
346 Passes 267
85% Pass Accuracy 79%
29 Box Touches 12
17 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Atletico Goianiense vs Ponte Preta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Goianiense saw off Ponte Preta 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Atletico Goianiense as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Atletico Goianiense had 54% of the ball to Ponte Preta's 46%, shots finished 21-9, expected goals 2.59 to 0.74.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico Goianiense had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Atletico Goianiense and 0.17 for Ponte Preta.

What was the final score of Atletico Goianiense vs Ponte Preta?

Atletico Goianiense 2-0 Ponte Preta in the Brazil - Serie B on 28/06/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Goianiense vs Ponte Preta?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Goianiense win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Atletico Goianiense 66%, draw 17%, Ponte Preta 17%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atletico Goianiense) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Atletico Goianiense) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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