Guatemala U20 5-1 Haiti U20 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CONCACAF U20, 28 Jul 2024

📅28/07/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.61
Draw
34%
3.94
Away
22%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.38
Over 2.5
48%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.6
No
46%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
3%
1/X
10%
X/1
4%
X/2
8%
X/X
7%
2/1
4%
2/2
11%
2/X
17%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
58%
-14.3pp
34%
Draw
22%
+11.8pp
23%
Away Win
20%
+2.5pp
52%
Under 2.5
38%
+13.9pp
48%
Over 2.5
62%
-13.9pp
54%
BTTS Yes
58%
-4.2pp
46%
BTTS No
42%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Guatemala U20 EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Haiti U20 EU Bookmakers 23%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
357 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Guatemala U20
5-1
AWAY Haiti U20
3.39 xG 1.69
47% Ball Possession 53%
20 Total Shots 14
10 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 6
187 Passes 224
73% Pass Accuracy 78%
18 Box Touches 18
12 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Guatemala U20 vs Haiti U20
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Guatemala U20 ran out comfortable winners over Haiti U20 5-1. Half-time: 4-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Guatemala U20 as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Guatemala U20 had 47% of the ball to Haiti U20's 53%, shots finished 20-14, expected goals 3.39 to 1.69.

What was the final score of Guatemala U20 vs Haiti U20?

Guatemala U20 5-1 Haiti U20 in the CONCACAF U20 on 28/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Guatemala U20 vs Haiti U20?

Before kick-off our model rated a Guatemala U20 win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Guatemala U20 44%, draw 34%, Haiti U20 23%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Guatemala U20), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Guatemala U20) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
CONCACAF U20 More CONCACAF U20
28 Jul 2024
05:00 Meksika U20 vs Panama U20 Analysis →