Cuniburo FC 3-1 Macara — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Cup, 28 Jul 2024

📅28/07/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.8
Draw
30%
3.04
Away
35%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.54
Over 2.5
40%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.99
No
55%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
10%
1/X
9%
X/1
8%
X/2
5%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
21%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
32%
+3.1pp
29%
Draw
30%
-0.1pp
35%
Away Win
38%
-3.1pp
60%
Under 2.5
61%
-0.6pp
40%
Over 2.5
39%
+0.6pp
45%
BTTS Yes
46%
-1.5pp
55%
BTTS No
54%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cuniburo FC EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Macara EU Bookmakers 42%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
321 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cuniburo FC
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Macara
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
48% Ball Possession 52%
6 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 2
16.08.2023 Macara Macara 2-0 HT 0-0 Cuniburo FC Cuniburo FC EKV2
17.05.2023 Cuniburo FC Cuniburo FC 2-3 HT 2-1 Macara Macara EKV2
27.03.2023 Macara Macara 0-0 HT 0-0 Cuniburo FC Cuniburo FC EKV2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cuniburo FC
3-1
AWAY Macara
39% Ball Possession 61%
15 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Cuniburo FC vs Macara
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cuniburo FC saw off Macara 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (35% / 29% / 35%) promised a tight game; Cuniburo FC found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Cuniburo FC had 39% of the ball to Macara's 61%, shots finished 15-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Macara led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Cuniburo FC and 1.67 for Macara.

What was the final score of Cuniburo FC vs Macara?

Cuniburo FC 3-1 Macara in the Ecuador - Cup on 28/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cuniburo FC vs Macara?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cuniburo FC win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Cuniburo FC 35%, draw 29%, Macara 35%. The final score 3-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (35/29/35) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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