Pohang Steelers 1-2 Gimcheon Sangmu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 28 Jul 2024

📅28/07/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.27
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
32%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.78
Over 2.5
54%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.75
No
46%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.07
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
24%
3.81
6+ Goals
12%
16.5
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.81 — our 24% vs market 21.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.38
1/2
10%
33.0
1/X
12%
12.8
X/1
15%
5.11
X/2
12%
6.09
X/X
9%
4.3
2/1
10%
28.5
2/2
10%
4.32
2/X
6%
13.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
40%
+1.1pp
27%
Draw
28%
-0.4pp
31%
Away Win
32%
-0.7pp
46%
Under 2.5
52%
-6.2pp
54%
Over 2.5
48%
+6.2pp
54%
BTTS Yes
53%
+1.3pp
46%
BTTS No
47%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pohang Steelers EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Gimcheon Sangmu EU Bookmakers 36%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +19% / +19%
1.37/0.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.74/0.73
-6% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +76%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
359 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.7
Crosses 17.4
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pohang Steelers
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Gimcheon Sangmu
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.71 xG 0.92
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
381 Passes 314
82% Pass Accuracy 78%
27 Box Touches 15
24 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 1
01.06.2024 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu 3-1 HT 0-0 Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers GKOK
20.04.2024 Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers 0-0 HT 0-0 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu GKOK
02.08.2022 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu 0-1 HT 0-1 Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers GKOK
26.06.2022 Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers 1-1 HT 1-1 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu GKOK
27.02.2022 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu 3-2 HT 2-1 Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers GKOK
01.11.2020 Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers 3-1 HT 0-0 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu GKOR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pohang Steelers
1-2
AWAY Gimcheon Sangmu
62% Ball Possession 38%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 2
468 Passes 251
84% Pass Accuracy 76%
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Pohang Steelers vs Gimcheon Sangmu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gimcheon Sangmu squeezed past Pohang Steelers 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Pohang Steelers at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Pohang Steelers had 62% of the ball to Gimcheon Sangmu's 38%, shots finished 14-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Pohang Steelers and 1.33 for Gimcheon Sangmu.

What was the final score of Pohang Steelers vs Gimcheon Sangmu?

Pohang Steelers 1-2 Gimcheon Sangmu in the South Kore - K League Classic on 28/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pohang Steelers vs Gimcheon Sangmu?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pohang Steelers win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Pohang Steelers 41%, draw 27%, Gimcheon Sangmu 31%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Pohang Steelers) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Pohang Steelers) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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