SSC Farul 0-1 Botosani — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Romania - 1st Division, 28 Jul 2024

📅28/07/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.61
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
26%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.95
Over 2.5
51%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.82
No
49%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
25%
3.56
2-3 Goals
47%
1.8
4-5 Goals
19%
3.37
6+ Goals
9%
12.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.56 — our 25% vs market 22.7%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
10%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
58%
-6.9pp
23%
Draw
24%
-0.9pp
26%
Away Win
18%
+7.7pp
49%
Under 2.5
48%
+1.1pp
51%
Over 2.5
52%
-1.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.3pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
-0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SSC Farul EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Botosani EU Bookmakers 21%
-9% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -7%
1.86/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/0.92
+10% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -5%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
362 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME SSC Farul
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Botosani
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
08.03.2024 Botosani Botosani 0-0 HT 0-0 SSC Farul SSC Farul ROM
05.11.2023 SSC Farul SSC Farul 1-1 HT 0-0 Botosani Botosani ROM
04.12.2022 SSC Farul SSC Farul 8-0 HT 2-0 Botosani Botosani ROM
08.08.2022 Botosani Botosani 1-1 HT 1-1 SSC Farul SSC Farul ROM
03.03.2022 SSC Farul SSC Farul 2-0 HT 1-0 Botosani Botosani ROM
29.10.2021 Botosani Botosani 0-2 HT 0-1 SSC Farul SSC Farul ROM
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME SSC Farul
0-1
AWAY Botosani
59% Ball Possession 41%
20 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH SSC Farul vs Botosani
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Botosani edged past SSC Farul 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was SSC Farul at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, SSC Farul had 59% of the ball to Botosani's 41%, shots finished 20-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, SSC Farul had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for SSC Farul and 0.33 for Botosani.

What was the final score of SSC Farul vs Botosani?

SSC Farul 0-1 Botosani in the Romania - 1st Division on 28/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SSC Farul vs Botosani?

Before kick-off our model rated a SSC Farul win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split SSC Farul 51%, draw 23%, Botosani 26%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (SSC Farul) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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