Spartak Trnava 0-0 Trencin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovakia Super League, 28 Jul 2024

📅28/07/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.8
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
30%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.78
Over 2.5
43%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.88
No
56%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
31%
3.03
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
3.87
6+ Goals
8%
17.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.03 — our 31% vs market 27.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
52%
-7.2pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.5pp
30%
Away Win
22%
+7.8pp
57%
Under 2.5
52%
+4.3pp
43%
Over 2.5
48%
-4.3pp
44%
BTTS Yes
49%
-4.8pp
56%
BTTS No
51%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Spartak Trnava EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Trencin EU Bookmakers 25%
+3% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +7%
1.43/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.36
-6% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +1%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
314 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 257 · 70%
24.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.6
21.7 Crosses 18.6
1.7 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Spartak Trnava
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Trencin
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.27 xG 1.33
41% Ball Possession 59%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
211 Passes 380
70% Pass Accuracy 79%
23 Box Touches 23
10 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 3
29.10.2023 Trencin Trencin 2-3 HT 1-1 Spartak Trnava Spartak Trnava SLVK
30.07.2023 Spartak Trnava Spartak Trnava 1-2 HT 0-1 Trencin Trencin SLVK
05.04.2023 Spartak Trnava Spartak Trnava 3-0 HT 1-0 Trencin Trencin SLOVK
15.03.2023 Trencin Trencin 1-2 HT 0-0 Spartak Trnava Spartak Trnava SLOVK
25.02.2023 Spartak Trnava Spartak Trnava 3-2 HT 3-0 Trencin Trencin SLVK
11.09.2022 Trencin Trencin 0-2 HT 0-1 Spartak Trnava Spartak Trnava SLVK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Spartak Trnava
0-0
AWAY Trencin
0.84 xG 0.46
44% Ball Possession 56%
17 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
246 Passes 365
75% Pass Accuracy 81%
42 Box Touches 13
27 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Spartak Trnava vs Trencin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Spartak Trnava and Trencin fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Spartak Trnava at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Spartak Trnava had 44% of the ball to Trencin's 56%, shots finished 17-9, expected goals 0.84 to 0.46.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Spartak Trnava had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Spartak Trnava and 1.17 for Trencin.

What was the final score of Spartak Trnava vs Trencin?

Spartak Trnava 0-0 Trencin in the Slovakia Super League on 28/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Spartak Trnava vs Trencin?

Before kick-off our model rated a Spartak Trnava win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Spartak Trnava 45%, draw 26%, Trencin 30%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Spartak Trnava) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Spartak Trnava) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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