Montana 1-1 Lokomotiv Plovdiv — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 28 Jul 2025

📅28/07/2025 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
3.29
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
36%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.62
Over 2.5
41%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.95
No
56%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
13%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
27%
+10.9pp
26%
Draw
29%
-3.4pp
36%
Away Win
44%
-7.4pp
59%
Under 2.5
58%
+1.1pp
41%
Over 2.5
42%
-1.1pp
44%
BTTS Yes
47%
-3.2pp
56%
BTTS No
53%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Montana EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Lokomotiv Plovdiv EU Bookmakers 48%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -7%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
276 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.7
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Montana
1-1
AWAY Lokomotiv Plovdiv
50% Ball Possession 50%
7 Total Shots 16
1 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Montana vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Montana and Lokomotiv Plovdiv couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 26% / 36% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (59%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

On the day, Montana had 50% of the ball to Lokomotiv Plovdiv's 50%, shots finished 7-16.

What was the final score of Montana vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv?

Montana 1-1 Lokomotiv Plovdiv in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 28/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Montana vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv?

Before kick-off our model rated a Montana win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Montana 38%, draw 26%, Lokomotiv Plovdiv 36%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Montana), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Montana) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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