Klubi-04 1-1 KaPa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Ykkönen, 28 Jul 2025

📅28/07/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.96
Draw
24%
3.94
Away
32%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
3.46
Over 2.5
62%
1.28
Both Teams to Score
Yes
64%
1.31
No
36%
3.14
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
8.43
2-3 Goals
40%
2.38
4-5 Goals
28%
2.3
6+ Goals
16%
3.63
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
11%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
47%
-3.4pp
24%
Draw
22%
+2.3pp
32%
Away Win
31%
+1.1pp
38%
Under 2.5
25%
+12.2pp
62%
Over 2.5
75%
-12.2pp
64%
BTTS Yes
72%
-8.0pp
36%
BTTS No
28%
+8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Klubi-04 EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY KaPa EU Bookmakers 34%
-4% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
2.64/2.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.96/2.73
+61% / -45% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +102% / -42%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
343 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Klubi-04
2W-1D-1L
AWAY KaPa
3.25 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 14
10 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
01.06.2025 KaPa KaPa 0-5 HT 0-2 Klubi-04 Klubi-04 FİN2
08.03.2025 Klubi-04 Klubi-04 4-1 KaPa KaPa FINYK
18.08.2014 KaPa KaPa 4-1 HT 1-0 Klubi-04 Klubi-04 FİNKAK
23.04.2014 Klubi-04 Klubi-04 3-3 HT 0-1 KaPa KaPa FİNKAK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Klubi-04
1-1
AWAY KaPa
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Klubi-04 vs KaPa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Klubi-04 and KaPa couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Klubi-04 at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (64%) landed while over 2.5 goals (62%) missed.

On the day, Klubi-04 had 56% of the ball to KaPa's 44%, shots finished 11-8.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Klubi-04 had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.25 goals for Klubi-04 and 2.00 for KaPa.

What was the final score of Klubi-04 vs KaPa?

Klubi-04 1-1 KaPa in the Finland - Ykkönen on 28/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Klubi-04 vs KaPa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Klubi-04 win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Klubi-04 44%, draw 24%, KaPa 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Klubi-04), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Klubi-04) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
FİN2 More Finland - Ykkönen
28 Jul 2025
18:30 SJK Akatemia vs SalPa Salo Analysis →