Sarpsborg 08 II 2-1 Pors Grenland II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 3rd Division, 28 Jul 2025

📅28/07/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
64%
1.18
Draw
24%
7.13
Away
12%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
Over 2.5
57%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.63
No
47%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
39%
1/2
3%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
3%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
80%
-16.6pp
24%
Draw
11%
+12.6pp
12%
Away Win
8%
+3.9pp
53%
BTTS Yes
57%
-4.1pp
47%
BTTS No
43%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sarpsborg 08 II EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Pors Grenland II EU Bookmakers 11%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
3.66/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/3.00
+8% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +5%
59% Ball Possession 41%
17 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
420 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 255 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sarpsborg 08 II
2-1
AWAY Pors Grenland II
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sarpsborg 08 II vs Pors Grenland II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sarpsborg 08 II squeezed past Pors Grenland II 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Sarpsborg 08 II as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Sarpsborg 08 II had 53% of the ball to Pors Grenland II's 47%, shots finished 11-10.

What was the final score of Sarpsborg 08 II vs Pors Grenland II?

Sarpsborg 08 II 2-1 Pors Grenland II in the Norway - 3rd Division on 28/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sarpsborg 08 II vs Pors Grenland II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sarpsborg 08 II win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Sarpsborg 08 II 64%, draw 24%, Pors Grenland II 12%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sarpsborg 08 II), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sarpsborg 08 II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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