Hamrun Spartans 2-1 Melita — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Malta - Premier League, 28 Aug 2024

📅28/08/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.42
Draw
24%
4.49
Away
23%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.43
Over 2.5
47%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.75
No
53%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
66%
-13.0pp
24%
Draw
19%
+4.9pp
22%
Away Win
14%
+8.1pp
53%
Under 2.5
38%
+15.9pp
47%
Over 2.5
62%
-15.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
53%
-5.7pp
53%
BTTS No
47%
+5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hamrun Spartans EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Melita EU Bookmakers 17%
+5% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+16% / +48% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
380 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hamrun Spartans
2-1
AWAY Melita
62% Ball Possession 38%
9 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Hamrun Spartans vs Melita
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hamrun Spartans nicked a narrow win over Melita 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Hamrun Spartans as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Hamrun Spartans had 62% of the ball to Melita's 38%, shots finished 9-10.

What was the final score of Hamrun Spartans vs Melita?

Hamrun Spartans 2-1 Melita in the Malta - Premier League on 28/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hamrun Spartans vs Melita?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hamrun Spartans win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Hamrun Spartans 53%, draw 24%, Melita 22%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hamrun Spartans) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hamrun Spartans) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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28 Aug 2024
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