Al Nassr (K) 0-1 Nasaf (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — AFCŞLK, 28 Aug 2025

📅28/08/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
3.87
Draw
22%
3.8
Away
54%
1.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.0
Over 2.5
52%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.75
No
49%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
4%
X/2
15%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
35%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Nasaf (K) win — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
22%
+2.2pp
22%
Draw
23%
-1.1pp
54%
Away Win
55%
-1.1pp
48%
Under 2.5
46%
+1.3pp
52%
Over 2.5
54%
-1.3pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.1pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Nassr (K) EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Nasaf (K) EU Bookmakers 59%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 7
324 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 369 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Nassr (K)
0-1
AWAY Nasaf (K)
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 7
12 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Al Nassr (K) vs Nasaf (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nasaf (K) squeezed past Al Nassr (K) 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Nasaf (K) as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Al Nassr (K) had 53% of the ball to Nasaf (K)'s 47%, shots finished 16-13.

What was the final score of Al Nassr (K) vs Nasaf (K)?

Al Nassr (K) 0-1 Nasaf (K) in the AFCŞLK on 28/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Nassr (K) vs Nasaf (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Nasaf (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Al Nassr (K) 25%, draw 22%, Nasaf (K) 54%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nasaf (K)) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Nasaf (K)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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