Pastoreo vs Cerro Porteno Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Pastoreo v Cerro Porteno — Team-Based Signals
Pastoreo 0-3 Cerro Porteno — Actual Match Statistics
Cerro Porteno cruised past Pastoreo 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Cerro Porteno as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, Pastoreo had 56% of the ball to Cerro Porteno's 44%, shots finished 11-11.
What was the final score of Pastoreo vs Cerro Porteno?
Pastoreo 0-3 Cerro Porteno in the Paraguay - Cup on 28/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Pastoreo vs Cerro Porteno?
Before kick-off our model rated an Cerro Porteno win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Pastoreo 20%, draw 21%, Cerro Porteno 58%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cerro Porteno), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.