Stocksund 4-1 IF Karlstad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 1st Division, 28 Sep 2024

📅28/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.46
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
38%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.59
Over 2.5
57%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.39
No
45%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
9%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
12%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
37%
+1.1pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.6pp
38%
Away Win
39%
-1.8pp
43%
Under 2.5
35%
+8.3pp
57%
Over 2.5
65%
-8.3pp
55%
BTTS Yes
68%
-13.1pp
45%
BTTS No
32%
+13.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stocksund EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY IF Karlstad EU Bookmakers 43%
-22% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -2%
1.39/1.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.48/0.96
-5% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +45%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
295 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 400 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stocksund
0W-0D-3L
AWAY IF Karlstad
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 5
9 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 1
18.05.2024 IF Karlstad IF Karlstad 2-1 HT 0-1 Stocksund Stocksund İSÇ3
12.11.2023 IF Karlstad IF Karlstad 2-0 HT 0-0 Stocksund Stocksund İSÇ3
01.04.2023 Stocksund Stocksund 0-3 HT 0-2 IF Karlstad IF Karlstad İSÇ3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stocksund
4-1
AWAY IF Karlstad
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 10
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Stocksund vs IF Karlstad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stocksund ran out comfortable winners over IF Karlstad 4-1. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (38% / 24% / 38%) promised a tight game; Stocksund found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Stocksund had 43% of the ball to IF Karlstad's 57%, shots finished 9-12.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, IF Karlstad led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Stocksund and 2.33 for IF Karlstad.

What was the final score of Stocksund vs IF Karlstad?

Stocksund 4-1 IF Karlstad in the Sweden - 1st Division on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stocksund vs IF Karlstad?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stocksund win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Stocksund 38%, draw 24%, IF Karlstad 38%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (38/24/38) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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