Grand-Saconnex 1-1 Lugano II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - 1st Division Yükselme, 28 Sep 2024

📅28/09/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.8
Draw
29%
3.64
Away
26%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.07
Over 2.5
46%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.66
No
52%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
48%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
4%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
52%
-6.2pp
28%
Draw
24%
+4.3pp
26%
Away Win
24%
+1.8pp
54%
Under 2.5
44%
+9.2pp
46%
Over 2.5
56%
-9.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
56%
-7.8pp
52%
BTTS No
44%
+7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Grand-Saconnex EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Lugano II EU Bookmakers 28%
-64% / -64% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
2.00/4.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.63
+4% / -66% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / +14%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
298 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 250 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Grand-Saconnex
1-1
AWAY Lugano II
59% Ball Possession 41%
21 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Grand-Saconnex vs Lugano II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Grand-Saconnex and Lugano II couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Grand-Saconnex at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Grand-Saconnex had 59% of the ball to Lugano II's 41%, shots finished 21-7.

What was the final score of Grand-Saconnex vs Lugano II?

Grand-Saconnex 1-1 Lugano II in the Switzerland - 1st Division Yükselme on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Grand-Saconnex vs Lugano II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Grand-Saconnex win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Grand-Saconnex 45%, draw 28%, Lugano II 26%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Grand-Saconnex), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Grand-Saconnex) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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