Barcelona (K) 10-1 Granada (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar, 28 Sep 2024

📅28/09/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
1.11
Draw
33%
8.78
Away
33%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
No
50%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
85%
-51.9pp
33%
Draw
8%
+24.9pp
33%
Away Win
6%
+26.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Barcelona (K) EU Bookmakers 90%
Head to Head
AWAY Granada (K) EU Bookmakers 9%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
3.67/0.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.85
+116% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +32% / +25%
50% Ball Possession 50%
0 Total Shots 0
0 Shots on Target 0
0 Corners 0
0 · 0% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 0 · 0%
60.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.0
32.2 Crosses 17.3
0.9 Yellow Cards 1.1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Barcelona (K)
10-1
AWAY Granada (K)
7.10 xG 0.27
71% Ball Possession 29%
26 Total Shots 7
16 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 1
575 Passes 173
88% Pass Accuracy 64%
52 Box Touches 4
7 Crosses 3
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Barcelona (K) vs Granada (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Barcelona (K) cruised past Granada (K) 10-1. Half-time: 5-0. 11 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (33% / 33% / 33%) promised a tight game; Barcelona (K) found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Barcelona (K) had 71% of the ball to Granada (K)'s 29%, shots finished 26-7, expected goals 7.10 to 0.27.

What was the final score of Barcelona (K) vs Granada (K)?

Barcelona (K) 10-1 Granada (K) in the İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Barcelona (K) vs Granada (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Barcelona (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 33%, with the full match-result split Barcelona (K) 33%, draw 33%, Granada (K) 33%. The final score 10-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (33/33/33)
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