CD Everton 2-0 Cobreloa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Chile - Premier League, 28 Sep 2024

📅28/09/2024 · 🕒23:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
57%
1.45
Draw
22%
4.19
Away
21%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under
48%
2.03
Over
52%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.9
No
56%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1
26%
2-3
42%
4-5
21%
6+
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
CD Everton win — 57%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
65%
-7.4pp
22%
Draw
21%
+1.2pp
21%
Away Win
15%
+6.2pp
48%
Under 2.5
45%
+3.0pp
52%
Over 2.5
55%
-3.0pp
44%
BTTS Yes
49%
-4.4pp
56%
BTTS No
51%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CD Everton EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Cobreloa EU Bookmakers 18%
-1% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -20% / -20%
1.50/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.51/2.27
+2% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -40% / -49%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
371 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 256 · 74%
23.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.4
19.5 Crosses 16.6
1.9 Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CD Everton
4W-0D-0L
AWAY Cobreloa
2.25 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.22 xG 0.63
40% Ball Possession 60%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
178 Passes 328
73% Pass Accuracy 82%
20 Box Touches 20
15 Crosses 39
3 Yellow Cards 2
06.05.2024 Cobreloa Cobreloa 1-2 HT 0-2 CD Everton CD Everton ŞİL
05.12.2015 CD Everton CD Everton 3-0 HT 1-0 Cobreloa Cobreloa ŞİLİB
12.04.2014 CD Everton CD Everton 2-0 HT 1-0 Cobreloa Cobreloa ŞİL
24.11.2013 Cobreloa Cobreloa 1-2 HT 0-0 CD Everton CD Everton ŞİL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CD Everton
2-0
AWAY Cobreloa
2.22 xG 0.06
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 5
8 Shots on Target 0
9 Corners 1
295 Passes 209
76% Pass Accuracy 68%
26 Box Touches 4
24 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH CD Everton vs Cobreloa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CD Everton got the better of Cobreloa 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had CD Everton as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, CD Everton had 56% of the ball to Cobreloa's 44%, shots finished 16-5, expected goals 2.22 to 0.06.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, CD Everton had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.25 goals for CD Everton and 0.50 for Cobreloa.

What was the final score of CD Everton vs Cobreloa?

CD Everton 2-0 Cobreloa in the Chile - Premier League on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CD Everton vs Cobreloa?

Before kick-off our model rated a CD Everton win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split CD Everton 57%, draw 22%, Cobreloa 21%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CD Everton), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (CD Everton) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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