Köln (K) 0-2 Freiburg (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Women's Bundesliga, 28 Sep 2024

Köln (K)
0-2 HT 0-1
Freiburg (K)
📅28/09/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Germany - Women's Bundesliga – 2024/2025

Köln (K) vs Freiburg (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.38
Draw
30%
3.64
Away
38%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.38
Over 2.5
54%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.46
No
44%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
7%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
21%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
38%
-5.7pp
30%
Draw
24%
+5.7pp
38%
Away Win
38%
+0.0pp
46%
Under 2.5
38%
+7.9pp
54%
Over 2.5
62%
-7.9pp
56%
BTTS Yes
64%
-8.8pp
44%
BTTS No
36%
+8.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Köln (K) v Freiburg (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Köln (K) EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Freiburg (K) EU Bookmakers 42%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / +37%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
322 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.8
– Crosses 11.4
– Yellow Cards 1.5

Köln (K) vs Freiburg (K) Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Köln (K)
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Freiburg (K)
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
2.08 xG 0.45
42% Ball Possession 58%
14 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 2
197 Passes 305
66% Pass Accuracy 73%
17 Box Touches 12
10 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
21.04.2024 Köln (K) Köln (K) 2-0 HT 0-0 Freiburg (K) Freiburg (K) ALKB

Köln (K) 0-2 Freiburg (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Köln (K)
0-2
AWAY Freiburg (K)
2.10 xG 1.72
56% Ball Possession 44%
25 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 4
331 Passes 225
75% Pass Accuracy 64%
43 Box Touches 17
39 Crosses 5
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Köln (K) vs Freiburg (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Freiburg (K) got the better of Köln (K) 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 30% / 38% — and on the day Freiburg (K) made the difference. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Köln (K) had 56% of the ball to Freiburg (K)'s 44%, shots finished 25-11, expected goals 2.10 to 1.72.

What was the final score of Köln (K) vs Freiburg (K)?

Köln (K) 0-2 Freiburg (K) in the Germany - Women's Bundesliga on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Köln (K) vs Freiburg (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Freiburg (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Köln (K) 32%, draw 30%, Freiburg (K) 38%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Freiburg (K)) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Freiburg (K)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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