Mainz 05 U19 2-1 Kickers Offenbach U19 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - U19 Bundesliga, 28 Sep 2024

📅28/09/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.29
Draw
24%
5.28
Away
20%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under
45%
2.89
Over
55%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.73
No Pick
57%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1
25%
2-3
37%
4-5
26%
6+
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
6%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 57%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
73%
-17.2pp
24%
Draw
16%
+8.2pp
20%
Away Win
11%
+9.0pp
45%
Under 2.5
31%
+14.3pp
55%
Over 2.5
69%
-14.3pp
43%
BTTS Yes
54%
-10.4pp
57%
BTTS No
46%
+10.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mainz 05 U19 EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Kickers Offenbach U19 EU Bookmakers 14%
-35% / -35% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
1.96/2.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/1.00
-33% / -46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +150%
60% Ball Possession 40%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
446 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mainz 05 U19
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Kickers Offenbach U19
4.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
04.08.2024 Kickers Offenbach U19 Kickers Offenbach U19 2-4 HT 2-2 Mainz 05 U19 Mainz 05 U19 ALU19
POST-MATCH Mainz 05 U19 vs Kickers Offenbach U19
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mainz 05 U19 edged past Kickers Offenbach U19 2-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Mainz 05 U19 as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (55%) landed while no to both teams scoring (57%) missed.

What was the final score of Mainz 05 U19 vs Kickers Offenbach U19?

Mainz 05 U19 2-1 Kickers Offenbach U19 in the Germany - U19 Bundesliga on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mainz 05 U19 vs Kickers Offenbach U19?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mainz 05 U19 win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Mainz 05 U19 56%, draw 24%, Kickers Offenbach U19 20%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mainz 05 U19), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Mainz 05 U19) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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