Pas de la Casa 2-2 UE Santa Coloma — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Andorra - 1st Division, 28 Sep 2024

Pas de la Casa
2-2 HT 1-2
UE Santa Coloma
📅28/09/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-3 ✗
Andorra - 1st Division – 2024/2025

Pas de la Casa vs UE Santa Coloma Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
5.91
Draw
26%
4.62
Away
54%
1.4
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.59
Over 2.5
52%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.68
No
47%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
8%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
38%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
14%
+6.1pp
26%
Draw
19%
+7.5pp
54%
Away Win
67%
-13.6pp
48%
Under 2.5
35%
+13.2pp
52%
Over 2.5
65%
-13.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
-2.4pp
47%
BTTS No
44%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Pas de la Casa v UE Santa Coloma — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pas de la Casa EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY UE Santa Coloma EU Bookmakers 71%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -3%
0.81/2.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.18/0.58
-4% / -33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / -11%
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
192 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 380 · 85%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
6.0 Yellow Cards 1.4

Pas de la Casa vs UE Santa Coloma Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pas de la Casa
0W-1D-1L
AWAY UE Santa Coloma
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 3
6 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
11.02.2024 UE Santa Coloma UE Santa Coloma 0-0 HT 0-0 Pas de la Casa AND
29.10.2023 Pas de la Casa 1-5 HT 1-2 UE Santa Coloma UE Santa Coloma AND
POST-MATCH Pas de la Casa vs UE Santa Coloma
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pas de la Casa and UE Santa Coloma couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-2.

Our pre-match lean was UE Santa Coloma at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, UE Santa Coloma led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Pas de la Casa and 2.50 for UE Santa Coloma.

What was the final score of Pas de la Casa vs UE Santa Coloma?

Pas de la Casa 2-2 UE Santa Coloma in the Andorra - 1st Division on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pas de la Casa vs UE Santa Coloma?

Before kick-off our model rated an UE Santa Coloma win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Pas de la Casa 20%, draw 26%, UE Santa Coloma 54%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (UE Santa Coloma) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (UE Santa Coloma) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →