Lommel United 1-1 Lierse Kempenzonen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - 1st Division, 28 Sep 2024

Lommel United
1-1 HT 0-1
Lierse Kempenzonen
📅28/09/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✓
Belgium - 1st Division – 2024/2025

Lommel United vs Lierse Kempenzonen Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.64
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
29%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.18
Over 2.5
48%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.68
No
51%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
4.23
2-3 Goals
42%
1.87
4-5 Goals
22%
3.01
6+ Goals
11%
9.26
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.23 — our 25% vs market 18.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
57%
-9.0pp
23%
Draw
23%
+0.1pp
29%
Away Win
20%
+8.7pp
52%
Under 2.5
42%
+9.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
58%
-9.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.6pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Lommel United v Lierse Kempenzonen — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lommel United EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Lierse Kempenzonen EU Bookmakers 23%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +24%
1.83/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.50
-5% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -11%
60% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
433 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 248 · 74%
29.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.4
19.4 Crosses 20.1
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.7

Lommel United vs Lierse Kempenzonen Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lommel United
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Lierse Kempenzonen
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.44 xG 0.92
60% Ball Possession 39%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
458 Passes 263
83% Pass Accuracy 73%
24 Box Touches 19
16 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
17.12.2023 Lommel United Lommel United 3-0 HT 3-0 Lierse Kempenzonen Lierse Kempenzonen BEL2
03.09.2023 Lierse Kempenzonen Lierse Kempenzonen 1-2 HT 0-1 Lommel United Lommel United BEL2
11.02.2023 Lommel United Lommel United 0-2 HT 0-2 Lierse Kempenzonen Lierse Kempenzonen BEL2
23.10.2022 Lierse Kempenzonen Lierse Kempenzonen 3-1 HT 3-1 Lommel United Lommel United BEL2
05.03.2022 Lierse Kempenzonen Lierse Kempenzonen 0-2 HT 0-0 Lommel United Lommel United BEL2
28.01.2022 Lommel United Lommel United 0-1 HT 0-1 Lierse Kempenzonen Lierse Kempenzonen BEL2

Lommel United 1-1 Lierse Kempenzonen — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lommel United
1-1
AWAY Lierse Kempenzonen
1.72 xG 1.68
65% Ball Possession 35%
18 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 1
517 Passes 243
87% Pass Accuracy 77%
42 Box Touches 14
30 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Lommel United vs Lierse Kempenzonen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lommel United and Lierse Kempenzonen shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Lommel United at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Lommel United had 65% of the ball to Lierse Kempenzonen's 35%, shots finished 18-12, expected goals 1.72 to 1.68.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Lommel United and 1.17 for Lierse Kempenzonen.

What was the final score of Lommel United vs Lierse Kempenzonen?

Lommel United 1-1 Lierse Kempenzonen in the Belgium - 1st Division on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lommel United vs Lierse Kempenzonen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lommel United win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Lommel United 48%, draw 23%, Lierse Kempenzonen 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Lommel United), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lommel United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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