Ostrovets FC 1-2 ABFF U17 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - 1st Division, 28 Sep 2024

📅28/09/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.75
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
28%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.07
Over 2.5
59%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
No
44%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
6%
2/1
12%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
53%
-3.8pp
22%
Draw
26%
-3.3pp
28%
Away Win
21%
+7.2pp
41%
Under 2.5
44%
-3.0pp
59%
Over 2.5
56%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ostrovets FC EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY ABFF U17 EU Bookmakers 24%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
2.40/1.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/1.59
+23% / -36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +55% / +6%
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
364 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Ostrovets FC vs ABFF U17
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ABFF U17 nicked a narrow win over Ostrovets FC 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Ostrovets FC at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Ostrovets FC vs ABFF U17?

Ostrovets FC 1-2 ABFF U17 in the Belarus - 1st Division on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ostrovets FC vs ABFF U17?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ostrovets FC win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Ostrovets FC 49%, draw 22%, ABFF U17 28%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Ostrovets FC) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ostrovets FC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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