IF Fuglafjordur 1-3 B68 Toftir — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Faroe Islands - Master League, 28 Sep 2024

📅28/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.75
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
47%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.29
Over 2.5
47%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.56
No
52%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
7%
X/2
22%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
23%
+6.2pp
23%
Draw
24%
-0.1pp
47%
Away Win
53%
-6.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
40%
+13.6pp
47%
Over 2.5
60%
-13.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
60%
-11.6pp
52%
BTTS No
40%
+11.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME IF Fuglafjordur EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY B68 Toftir EU Bookmakers 57%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -50% / -50%
1.19/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/2.00
-3% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -42% / -38%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
356 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 360 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 6.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME IF Fuglafjordur
0W-3D-3L
AWAY B68 Toftir
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 4
20.05.2024 IF Fuglafjordur IF Fuglafjordur 2-2 HT 1-2 B68 Toftir B68 Toftir FAROEM
14.05.2024 B68 Toftir B68 Toftir 0-0 HT 0-0 IF Fuglafjordur IF Fuglafjordur FAROEM
25.04.2024 B68 Toftir B68 Toftir 1-0 HT 1-0 IF Fuglafjordur IF Fuglafjordur FAROEK
29.10.2023 IF Fuglafjordur IF Fuglafjordur 0-0 HT 0-0 B68 Toftir B68 Toftir FAROEM
05.08.2023 B68 Toftir B68 Toftir 3-1 HT 1-0 IF Fuglafjordur IF Fuglafjordur FAROEM
30.04.2023 IF Fuglafjordur IF Fuglafjordur 1-3 HT 0-1 B68 Toftir B68 Toftir FAROEM
POST-MATCH IF Fuglafjordur vs B68 Toftir
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

B68 Toftir got the better of IF Fuglafjordur 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had B68 Toftir as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, B68 Toftir led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for IF Fuglafjordur and 1.50 for B68 Toftir.

What was the final score of IF Fuglafjordur vs B68 Toftir?

IF Fuglafjordur 1-3 B68 Toftir in the Faroe Islands - Master League on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for IF Fuglafjordur vs B68 Toftir?

Before kick-off our model rated an B68 Toftir win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split IF Fuglafjordur 29%, draw 23%, B68 Toftir 47%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (B68 Toftir) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (B68 Toftir) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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