USM Oujda 1-1 Stade Marocain — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Morocco - Botola 2, 28 Sep 2024

📅28/09/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
2.0
Draw
20%
3.04
Away
20%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.48
Over 2.5
42%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
35%
2.16
No
65%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
8%
2/1
9%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
46%
+13.8pp
20%
Draw
30%
-9.4pp
20%
Away Win
24%
-4.3pp
58%
Under 2.5
64%
-5.9pp
42%
Over 2.5
36%
+5.9pp
35%
BTTS Yes
42%
-7.0pp
65%
BTTS No
58%
+7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME USM Oujda EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Stade Marocain EU Bookmakers 28%
+15% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -18%
1.37/0.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.67/1.95
+4% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / -45%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
260 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME USM Oujda
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Stade Marocain
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
25.02.2024 USM Oujda 3-0 HT 1-0 Stade Marocain FAS2
24.09.2023 Stade Marocain 1-1 HT 0-0 USM Oujda FAS2
POST-MATCH USM Oujda vs Stade Marocain
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

USM Oujda and Stade Marocain shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had USM Oujda at 60% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. On goals, under 2.5 goals (58%) landed while no to both teams scoring (65%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, USM Oujda had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for USM Oujda and 0.50 for Stade Marocain.

What was the final score of USM Oujda vs Stade Marocain?

USM Oujda 1-1 Stade Marocain in the Morocco - Botola 2 on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for USM Oujda vs Stade Marocain?

Before kick-off our model rated a USM Oujda win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split USM Oujda 60%, draw 20%, Stade Marocain 20%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (USM Oujda), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (USM Oujda) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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