Montpellier (K) 1-0 Stade de Reims (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Women's 1st Divisioni, 28 Sep 2024

📅28/09/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.18
Draw
22%
3.45
Away
43%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.1
Over 2.5
55%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.56
No
45%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
11%
X/2
9%
X/X
15%
2/1
4%
2/2
28%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
42%
-7.8pp
22%
Draw
26%
-3.9pp
43%
Away Win
31%
+11.8pp
45%
Under 2.5
44%
+1.5pp
55%
Over 2.5
56%
-1.5pp
55%
BTTS Yes
60%
-5.3pp
45%
BTTS No
40%
+5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Montpellier (K) EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Stade de Reims (K) EU Bookmakers 34%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -27% / -27%
1.50/2.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/2.08
+26% / -39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -35% / -46%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
322 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.0
Crosses 9.0
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Montpellier (K)
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Stade de Reims (K)
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
3.60 xG 0.35
59% Ball Possession 41%
18 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
327 Passes 223
74% Pass Accuracy 68%
30 Box Touches 18
19 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 2
09.02.2024 Stade de Reims (K) Stade de Reims (K) 0-3 HT 0-1 Montpellier (K) Montpellier (K) FRK1
18.11.2023 Montpellier (K) Montpellier (K) 2-1 HT 0-0 Stade de Reims (K) Stade de Reims (K) FRK1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Montpellier (K)
1-0
AWAY Stade de Reims (K)
0.90 xG 0.33
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 0
364 Passes 381
78% Pass Accuracy 79%
18 Box Touches 12
12 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Montpellier (K) vs Stade de Reims (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Montpellier (K) edged past Stade de Reims (K) 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Stade de Reims (K) at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Montpellier (K) had 49% of the ball to Stade de Reims (K)'s 51%, shots finished 10-12, expected goals 0.90 to 0.33.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Montpellier (K) had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Montpellier (K) and 0.50 for Stade de Reims (K).

What was the final score of Montpellier (K) vs Stade de Reims (K)?

Montpellier (K) 1-0 Stade de Reims (K) in the France - Women's 1st Divisioni on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Montpellier (K) vs Stade de Reims (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Stade de Reims (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Montpellier (K) 35%, draw 22%, Stade de Reims (K) 43%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Stade de Reims (K)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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