Accra Lions 3-1 Nsoatreman — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Gana - Premier League, 28 Sep 2024

📅28/09/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.46
Draw
27%
2.94
Away
35%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under
62%
1.44
Over
38%
2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.19
No Pick
63%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1
35%
2-3
40%
4-5
14%
6+
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
3%
1/X
3%
X/1
12%
X/2
13%
X/X
20%
2/1
4%
2/2
19%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 63%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
37%
+1.2pp
27%
Draw
31%
-3.8pp
35%
Away Win
32%
+2.5pp
62%
Under 2.5
66%
-3.3pp
38%
Over 2.5
34%
+3.3pp
37%
BTTS Yes
42%
-4.3pp
63%
BTTS No
58%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Accra Lions EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Nsoatreman EU Bookmakers 36%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -49% / -49%
0.72/0.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/2.00
-34% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +60% / -48%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
272 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 366 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Accra Lions
3-1
AWAY Nsoatreman
46% Ball Possession 54%
15 Total Shots 21
6 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 15
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Accra Lions vs Nsoatreman
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Accra Lions saw off Nsoatreman 3-1.

Our pre-match split (38% / 27% / 35%) promised a tight game; Accra Lions found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (63%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Accra Lions had 46% of the ball to Nsoatreman's 54%, shots finished 15-21.

What was the final score of Accra Lions vs Nsoatreman?

Accra Lions 3-1 Nsoatreman in the Gana - Premier League on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Accra Lions vs Nsoatreman?

Before kick-off our model rated a Accra Lions win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Accra Lions 38%, draw 27%, Nsoatreman 35%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Accra Lions) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Accra Lions) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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