Lee Man 2-1 Hong Kong Rangers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hong Kong - Premier League, 28 Sep 2024

📅28/09/2024 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.32
Draw
24%
5.15
Away
19%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.98
Over 2.5
56%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.61
No
50%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
27%
X/2
7%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
71%
-14.6pp
24%
Draw
16%
+7.6pp
19%
Away Win
12%
+7.1pp
44%
Under 2.5
30%
+13.8pp
56%
Over 2.5
70%
-13.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
58%
-8.4pp
50%
BTTS No
42%
+8.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lee Man EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY Hong Kong Rangers EU Bookmakers 15%
-1% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
2.93/0.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.68/2.87
-3% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +4%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
412 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 363 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lee Man
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Hong Kong Rangers
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
17.04.2024 Hong Kong Rangers Hong Kong Rangers 0-3 HT 0-1 Lee Man Lee Man HK1
20.01.2024 Hong Kong Rangers Hong Kong Rangers 0-4 HT 0-2 Lee Man Lee Man HONSAP
28.12.2023 Lee Man Lee Man 3-2 HT 2-0 Hong Kong Rangers Hong Kong Rangers HKKK
02.12.2023 Hong Kong Rangers Hong Kong Rangers 3-4 HT 1-3 Lee Man Lee Man HONFK
01.10.2023 Lee Man Lee Man 4-2 HT 2-1 Hong Kong Rangers Hong Kong Rangers HK1
05.02.2023 Hong Kong Rangers Hong Kong Rangers 1-0 HT 1-0 Lee Man Lee Man HK1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lee Man
2-1
AWAY Hong Kong Rangers
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Lee Man vs Hong Kong Rangers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lee Man edged past Hong Kong Rangers 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Lee Man as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Lee Man had 57% of the ball to Hong Kong Rangers's 43%, shots finished 12-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lee Man had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Lee Man and 1.33 for Hong Kong Rangers.

What was the final score of Lee Man vs Hong Kong Rangers?

Lee Man 2-1 Hong Kong Rangers in the Hong Kong - Premier League on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lee Man vs Hong Kong Rangers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lee Man win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Lee Man 57%, draw 24%, Hong Kong Rangers 19%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lee Man), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Lee Man) ✓ Over 2.5
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HK1 More Hong Kong - Premier League
28 Sep 2024
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