Heerenveen (K) 1-3 ADO Den Haag (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Women's Eredivisie, 28 Sep 2024

📅28/09/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
5.4
Draw
23%
4.49
Away
55%
1.41
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
2.21
Over 2.5
41%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.82
No
57%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
3%
1/X
6%
X/1
4%
X/2
22%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
29%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
15%
+6.9pp
23%
Draw
19%
+4.4pp
55%
Away Win
66%
-11.3pp
59%
Under 2.5
41%
+17.8pp
41%
Over 2.5
59%
-17.8pp
43%
BTTS Yes
51%
-8.1pp
57%
BTTS No
49%
+8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Heerenveen (K) EU Bookmakers 18%
Head to Head
AWAY ADO Den Haag (K) EU Bookmakers 71%
+16% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-100% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 7
240 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 366 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Heerenveen (K)
1W-0D-0L
AWAY ADO Den Haag (K)
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
33% Ball Possession 67%
4 Total Shots 20
2 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 15
1 Yellow Cards 1
14.04.2024 ADO Den Haag (K) ADO Den Haag (K) 0-1 HT 0-0 Heerenveen (K) Heerenveen (K) HOLK1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Heerenveen (K)
1-3
AWAY ADO Den Haag (K)
65% Ball Possession 35%
10 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
507 Passes 208
85% Pass Accuracy 68%
14 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Heerenveen (K) vs ADO Den Haag (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ADO Den Haag (K) got the better of Heerenveen (K) 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-3.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had ADO Den Haag (K) as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Heerenveen (K) had 65% of the ball to ADO Den Haag (K)'s 35%, shots finished 10-12.

What was the final score of Heerenveen (K) vs ADO Den Haag (K)?

Heerenveen (K) 1-3 ADO Den Haag (K) in the Netherlands - Women's Eredivisie on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Heerenveen (K) vs ADO Den Haag (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an ADO Den Haag (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Heerenveen (K) 22%, draw 23%, ADO Den Haag (K) 55%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (ADO Den Haag (K)) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (ADO Den Haag (K)) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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