Utrecht (K) 2-0 Excelsior Barendrecht (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Women's Eredivisie, 28 Sep 2024

Utrecht (K)
2-0 HT 2-0
Excelsior Barendrecht (K)
📅28/09/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 ✗ 2nd Score 4-1 ✗
Netherlands - Women's Eredivisie – 2024/2025

Utrecht (K) vs Excelsior Barendrecht (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
65%
1.22
Draw
18%
5.71
Away
17%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.61
Over 2.5
61%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.96
No
45%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
30%
4-5 Goals
35%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
3%
1/X
3%
X/1
31%
X/2
3%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
10%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
65%
Home Win
77%
-12.0pp
18%
Draw
14%
+3.7pp
17%
Away Win
8%
+8.1pp
39%
Under 2.5
35%
+4.2pp
61%
Over 2.5
65%
-4.2pp
55%
BTTS Yes
47%
+7.7pp
45%
BTTS No
53%
-7.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Utrecht (K) v Excelsior Barendrecht (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Utrecht (K) EU Bookmakers 82%
Head to Head
AWAY Excelsior Barendrecht (K) EU Bookmakers 11%
-39% / -39% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -14%
2.05/3.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/3.97
-21% / -80% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -46%
62% Ball Possession 38%
19 Total Shots 8
9 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
432 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 242 · 73%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 0.0

Utrecht (K) vs Excelsior Barendrecht (K) Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Utrecht (K)
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Excelsior Barendrecht (K)
4.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
3.01 xG 0.93
67% Ball Possession 33%
9 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 3
470 Passes 192
80% Pass Accuracy 67%
16 Box Touches 14
14 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
24.03.2024 Excelsior Barendrecht (K) Excelsior Barendrecht (K) 1-4 HT 1-2 Utrecht (K) Utrecht (K) HOLK1

Utrecht (K) 2-0 Excelsior Barendrecht (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Utrecht (K)
2-0
AWAY Excelsior Barendrecht (K)
61% Ball Possession 39%
9 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 10
423 Passes 231
83% Pass Accuracy 74%
16 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Utrecht (K) vs Excelsior Barendrecht (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Utrecht (K) got the better of Excelsior Barendrecht (K) 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Utrecht (K) as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Utrecht (K) had 61% of the ball to Excelsior Barendrecht (K)'s 39%, shots finished 9-13.

What was the final score of Utrecht (K) vs Excelsior Barendrecht (K)?

Utrecht (K) 2-0 Excelsior Barendrecht (K) in the Netherlands - Women's Eredivisie on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Utrecht (K) vs Excelsior Barendrecht (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Utrecht (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Utrecht (K) 65%, draw 18%, Excelsior Barendrecht (K) 17%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Utrecht (K)) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Utrecht (K)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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